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Mission 300, led by the World Bank Group and the African Development Bank, sets national commitments to connect 300 million people to electricity by 2030. Delivery is anchored in country-led National Energy Compacts developed by governments.
GOGLA, as the global off-grid solar association and member of the Mission 300 Private Sector Council, reviewed the 30 compacts finalised as of January 2026 to assess how off-grid solar (OGS) and distributed renewable energy (DRE) are reflected in national plans. This analysis highlights where off-grid solutions are clearly prioritised, where gaps remain, and what this means for delivery, investment, and market sustainability.
million people potentially connected by 2030
million people potentially connected via off-grid solar/DRE solutions by 2030
billion investment targeted for off-grid solar/DRE
Click on a country flag or name to explore our analysis of its Mission 300 National Energy Compact.
Each country page provides a quick snapshot of the government’s electrification plans, including current electricity access levels, the 2030 national access target, total connections planned, and the role of OGS and DRE in achieving these goals. Profiles also highlight investment needs, relevant policies and programmes, a short assessment of the compact, a direct link to the full National Energy Compact, and links to GOGLA members active in the country.
These profiles help illustrate how strongly OGS and DRE are reflected in national electrification strategies and where opportunities for scale, delivery, and investment may emerge under Mission 300.
Benin’s Mission 300 compact sets out a clear national access target but assigns a relatively modest role to off-grid solar compared to grid and mini-grid expansion. While decentralised solutions are recognised within the delivery mix, standalone solar is expected to account for only a small share of total connections by 2030. The compact includes strong enabling commitments, including the creation of a dedicated rural electrification and renewable energy fund, extensive fiscal exemptions, and strengthened planning and data systems. The main challenge lies in translating these enabling measures into scaled delivery for off-grid solar and ensuring that private-sector OGS providers are positioned to contribute meaningfully alongside grid and mini-grid deployment.
Botswana’s Mission 300 compact targets universal electricity access by 2030 and explicitly recognises off-grid solar as essential for reaching remote and sparsely populated communities. While grid electrification remains the primary delivery pathway in peri-urban and accessible rural areas, off-grid solutions are positioned as the least-cost option for the remaining unelectrified population. The compact includes strong commitments on standards, consumer protection, and the creation of a dedicated Off-Grid Solar Fund. The main challenge lies in translating these commitments into timely implementation and ensuring that off-grid solar receives sufficient operational focus alongside Botswana’s much larger investments in grid reliability and generation reform.
Comoros’ Mission 300 compact recognises off-grid and hybrid solar solutions as essential to improving electricity access and reliability across its island system. While national access levels are relatively high, persistent challenges remain in outer islands and in maintaining reliable service. The compact positions decentralised renewable energy as a key complement to grid rehabilitation, particularly for public services. However, off-grid solar targets and investment needs are not clearly specified, leaving implementation pathways underdefined as the country works toward universal access by 2030.
The Republic of the Congo’s Mission 300 compact targets a significant increase in electricity access by 2030, with decentralised renewable energy recognised as necessary for reaching rural and remote populations. Grid expansion remains the dominant delivery pathway, supported by investments in generation and transmission. OGS is not supported by explicit connection targets or dedicated investment envelopes, and is often discussed alongside mini-grids at a high level. While fiscal incentives and rural electrification initiatives provide a partial enabling environment, the absence of clear delivery frameworks, affordability mechanisms, and monitoring systems creates uncertainty for private-sector OGS providers. Clearer articulation will be needed to ensure off-grid solutions contribute meaningfully to achieving national access targets.
Côte d’Ivoire’s Mission 300 compact sets out a strong national commitment to universal electricity access by 2030, underpinned by a relatively advanced grid system and an explicit role for decentralised renewable energy. Off-grid solar and mini-grids are expected to deliver several million connections, supported by comprehensive fiscal incentives and a clear intention to mobilise private capital. However, off-grid targets are explicitly flagged as subject to revision following upcoming studies, and key planning instruments remain under development. The main challenge lies in translating policy intent into operational clarity for private off-grid solar providers, particularly on final targets, delivery models, and coordination with grid expansion.
The DRC’s Mission 300 compact reflects the scale and complexity of electrification in one of the world’s largest access-deficit countries. While decentralised renewable energy is recognised as essential, the compact prioritises grid expansion and mini-grids as the main delivery pathways, with standalone off-grid solar playing a limited and largely transitional role. Significant investment is mobilised for DRE overall, alongside commitments to regulatory reform, results-based financing, and improved monitoring. However, the very small number of standalone solar connections currently targeted highlights a disconnect between market potential and planned deployment. Clarifying the role of OGS and strengthening delivery frameworks will be critical to accelerating access in remote and underserved areas.
Ethiopia’s Mission 300 compact reflects one of the largest off-grid solar markets globally, with off-grid solutions already accounting for a significant share of existing access. Under Mission 300, OGS and mini-grids are positioned as essential for reaching last-mile communities alongside continued grid expansion. However, while the role of off-grid is clearly acknowledged in aggregate, standalone solar is not well distinguished within targets, financing, or delivery mechanisms. The challenge lies in translating Ethiopia’s strong policy ambition and market scale into clearer, bankable pathways for private OGS providers.
The Gambia’s Mission 300 compact targets universal electricity access by 2030, with grid expansion as the primary delivery pathway. Off-grid solar is recognised as a complementary solution for rural communities and public facilities, but remains secondary in planning and investment. The compact does not define specific OGS targets or dedicated financing, and off-grid delivery remains largely donor-driven. Strengthening delivery frameworks and market incentives would allow off-grid solar to play a more effective role alongside grid expansion and accelerate access in hard-to-reach areas.
Ghana’s Mission 300 compact focuses on closing a relatively small remaining access gap, with grid extension and densification as the primary delivery pathways. Off-grid solar is referenced mainly for remote communities and public facilities, but plays a limited role within overall targets and investment planning. The compact’s main strength lies in grid reliability and system sustainability, while the opportunity for OGS lies in cost-effectively addressing hard-to-reach populations.
Guinea’s Mission 300 compact recognises decentralised renewable energy as necessary to expand access beyond urban centres, but remains heavily focused on grid development and generation investment. Off-grid solar is referenced as part of the solution for rural access, yet lacks clear targets and financing commitments. While donor-supported projects and rural electrification initiatives exist, the lack of a coherent OGS framework limits scalability and private-sector engagement. Stronger integration of standalone solar into planning and financing could help accelerate access gains and reduce pressure on grid investments.
Lesotho’s Mission 300 compact places decentralised renewable energy at the centre of its universal access strategy. With difficult terrain and dispersed rural settlements, off-grid solar is positioned as essential for accelerating access alongside grid densification. The compact commits to least-cost planning, revised regulations, PAYGo-enabled SHS deployment, and results-based financing. Institutional reforms, including the creation of a National Energy Fund and strengthened monitoring using the Multi-Tier Framework, provide a strong enabling environment. Ensuring timely implementation and predictable financing will be critical to sustaining private-sector participation and reaching last-mile households.
Liberia’s Mission 300 compact clearly recognises distributed renewable energy as essential to expanding electricity access beyond Monrovia, given dispersed settlements, limited grid reach, and the short timeframe to 2030. Off-grid solar and mini-grids are positioned as cost-effective delivery pathways, supported by results-based financing and concessional finance mechanisms. However, targets and investment needs for standalone solar are aggregated with mini-grids, limiting visibility for OGS-specific planning and private-sector scale-up. While the compact includes strong commitments on planning, financing, and monitoring, clearer articulation of the long-term role of standalone solar and sustained funding for off-grid delivery will be critical to ensure effective implementation and durable access outcomes.
Malawi’s Mission 300 compact stands out for the scale and maturity of its off-grid solar market, which already accounts for more than half of existing electricity access. The compact recognises decentralised renewable energy as essential to accelerating access expansion, particularly in rural areas where grid extension remains slow and costly. Building on the success of the Ngwee Ngwee Ngwee Fund, Malawi commits to expanding results-based and innovative financing for solar home systems, strengthening planning and monitoring, and integrating off-grid delivery into national electrification frameworks. However, while OGS is expected to deliver the majority of new connections, the compact provides limited disaggregation of targets between technologies and lacks detailed clarity on affordability mechanisms, subsidy design and private-sector delivery pathways. Stronger tier alignment, clearer investment frameworks and sustained regulatory certainty will be critical to ensure scalable, high-quality and durable access outcomes.
Mauritania’s Mission 300 compact recognises decentralised renewable energy as necessary for extending access beyond urban centres. The compact’s main opportunity lies in strengthening the role of OGS to accelerate access cost-effectively in remote areas. However, off-grid solar is not clearly articulated within delivery pathways, investment plans, or monitoring frameworks. While public-facility solarisation and donor projects are referenced, the absence of clear OGS targets and financing mechanisms limits scalability. Stronger integration of standalone solar would improve speed, affordability, and resilience of access delivery.
Mozambique’s Mission 300 compact targets a near doubling of access by 2030 through a mix of grid expansion and decentralised solutions. FUNAE-led off-grid programmes and donor-supported initiatives provide a strong foundation for delivery. OGS and mini-grids are expected to play a substantial role, particularly in rural and peri-urban areas. However, the compact remains heavily grid-oriented in its investment framing and does not clearly distinguish standalone solar within targets or financing. Strengthening market data, affordability mechanisms, and grid–off-grid coordination will be critical to sustaining momentum and accelerating last-mile access.
Namibia’s Mission 300 compact targets a moderate increase in national electricity access by 2030, with grid expansion remaining the dominant delivery pathway. Off-grid solar is recognised as an important solution for rural and dispersed communities, but is expected to account for a relatively small share of total new connections. The compact includes promising enabling measures, including proposed fiscal exemptions and a results-based financing pilot to catalyse SHS deployment. However, the scale of off-grid ambition remains modest compared to overall grid investment plans. Effective implementation and timely operationalisation of financing and regulatory measures will determine whether off-grid solar can play a stronger role in reaching Namibia’s remaining last-mile households.
Niger’s Mission 300 compact reflects the scale of the country’s access challenge and the central role decentralised solutions must play. With very low baseline access and significant grid constraints, off-grid solar and mini-grids are recognised as essential for reaching rural populations. However, while ambition is clear, the compact provides limited specificity on standalone solar targets, financing pathways, and delivery mechanisms. Implementation risks remain high without clearer articulation of OGS scale and private-sector roles.
Senegal’s Mission 300 compact provides one of the clearest articulations of decentralised renewable energy among peer countries. Off-grid solar and mini-grids are integrated into a diversified delivery strategy, supported by technology-specific targets, defined investment envelopes, and a recognised role for private operators. The compact also commits to regulatory clarity, fiscal incentives, and strengthened monitoring systems. The primary challenge now lies in implementation. Ensuring that commitments translate into bankable pipelines, timely regulation, and scalable financing will be critical, particularly to avoid limiting solar home systems to short-term access solutions. With effective execution, Senegal is well positioned to demonstrate how market-led off-grid solar can contribute meaningfully to universal access.
São Tomé and Príncipe’s Mission 300 compact positions off-grid solar as a critical pathway to achieving universal electricity access by 2030, reflecting the country’s island geography and the high costs of grid expansion. Remaining access gaps are concentrated in remote communities and public facilities where decentralised solutions are most cost-effective. While the compact clearly recognises the importance of off-grid solar for both access and reliability, it does not specify detailed targets or investment envelopes. Delivery will depend on sustained financing and effective translation of high-level commitments into operational off-grid programmes.
Tanzania’s Mission 300 compact is largely framed around grid expansion and clean cooking, with off-grid solar referenced only at a high level. While the compact recognises the role of distributed renewable energy, it does not clearly articulate how standalone solar will contribute to delivery, nor does it diagnose the structural barriers facing the sector. Key challenges such as affordability constraints, access to working capital, inconsistent tax treatment, market data gaps, and the presence of non-certified products are not reflected in the compact’s diagnostic or action plan. As a result, there is a risk that off-grid solar remains marginal to implementation, despite its relevance for last-mile access. Stronger integration of OGS into targets, financing frameworks, and monitoring systems will be critical to reduce delivery risk and ensure the compact translates into scalable impact.
Togo’s Mission 300 compact builds on a strong track record in off-grid solar delivery, with OGS recognised as a core component of the country’s universal access strategy. Decentralised solutions are positioned alongside grid expansion to reach last-mile households, particularly in rural areas. However, while the role of off-grid solar is well established in practice, the compact does not consistently disaggregate targets or investment needs. Sustaining momentum will require clearer alignment between planning, financing, and monitoring to ensure OGS continues to deliver access at scale through 2030.
Zimbabwe’s Mission 300 compact positions off-grid solar as a necessary solution to expand access amid grid constraints and reliability challenges, particularly for rural households, peri-urban communities and public facilities. However, the compact provides limited specificity on off-grid targets, investment requirements and delivery mechanisms. It also lacks tier clarity aligned with the Multi-Tier Framework, a clear subsidy structure, a defined affordability strategy, and explicit targets for scaling productive use of renewable energy. Greater precision on these elements will be essential for decentralised solar to contribute meaningfully to 2030 access goals.
Zambia’s Mission 300 compact positions off-grid solar as an important complement to grid expansion, particularly for rural areas. Zambia aims to significantly increase electricity access by 2030, relying on both grid extension and decentralised solutions. Off-grid solar is referenced as a key delivery mechanism for rural and remote communities, building on existing market activity. However, OGS targets are not clearly separated from mini-grids, and investment planning remains aggregated. Stronger articulation of delivery pathways and affordability mechanisms would help unlock private-sector scale.
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